QC
Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue of $0.384M, up sharply sequentially from $0.061M in Q2 and up 280% YoY, with 33% gross margin as the company began recognizing cloud revenue from Dirac-3 and increased R&D services/custom hardware deliveries .
- GAAP net income was $2.4M (basic EPS $0.01) versus $(5.7)M a year ago, driven by a $9.2M non‑cash gain on derivative liability revaluation and $3.5M interest income; operating loss remained sizable at $(10.4)M as OpEx scaled to $10.5M .
- Balance sheet transformed by equity financings: cash $352M and investments $461M at 9/30; total assets $898M, liabilities $20M, equity $878M; subsequent $750M raise in Oct reinforces >$1.5B liquidity to fund foundry scale-up, product roadmap, and potential M&A .
- Against S&P Global consensus, Q3 beat on EPS and revenue: EPS est. −$0.06 vs actual $0.01; revenue est. $0.117M vs actual $0.384M; only three estimates, highlighting low coverage and potential volatility in expectations (see Estimates Context) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Liquidity and capital access: Raised $500M in Sept and $750M post‑quarter; ended Q3 with $352M cash and $461M investments, positioning QUBT to fund Fab 2 planning, hiring, and product programs .
- Commercial traction milestones: First U.S. commercial sale of quantum cybersecurity to a top‑5 U.S. bank; recognition of Dirac‑3 cloud revenue; continued NASA work applying Dirac‑3 to LiDAR noise removal .
- Non‑cash items supported profitability: $9.2M derivative liability gain and $3.5M interest income swung GAAP bottom line positive for the quarter .
- Quote: “Revenues increased 280% year-over-year… including a recent sale to a top 5 U.S. bank.” – Dr. Yuping Huang, Interim CEO .
- What Went Wrong
- Core operating performance still deeply negative: Operating loss $(10.4)M on $0.384M revenue; OpEx nearly doubled YoY to $10.5M as the company scales R&D, engineering, and manufacturing .
- Gross margin volatility at low revenue base (33% vs 43% in Q2, 9% YoY), with management cautioning variability given custom work and few active contracts .
- Limited disclosure of forward financial guidance; no explicit revenue/margin outlook provided, which may challenge near‑term modeling; growth depends on manufacturing execution, customer adoption, and potential M&A timelines .
Financial Results
P&L and Margins (chronological: YoY → prior qtr → current)
Notes: Sequential revenue increased from $0.061M to $0.384M as Dirac‑3 cloud revenue commenced and services/custom hardware scaled . GAAP profitability in Q3 was driven by non‑operating items (derivative revaluation and interest income) .
Balance Sheet (prior qtr → current)
Actual vs. Estimates (Q3 2025)
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment/KPI notes: No formal segment reporting. Revenue drivers cited: R&D services, custom hardware, and Dirac‑3 cloud access; margin variability expected at current scale . Foundry (Fab 1) operational with 10+ service orders; planning for Fab 2 .
Guidance Changes
Management provided operational details but no numeric revenue/margin/tax/OpEx guidance.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “The challenge ahead is one of engineering and manufacturing execution… move from prototype and small-batch manufacturing towards volume production… planning for Fab 2” – Dr. Yuping Huang .
- Capital deployment: “We now have substantial resources to implement our TFLN fabrication and quantum machine development initiatives… evaluating acquisition opportunities” – CFO Chris Roberts .
- Commercial validation: “The first U.S. commercial sale of its quantum cybersecurity solutions… purchase order from a top 5 U.S. bank” – Press release .
- Product roadmap: “Upgrading our current Dirac‑3… building the next version… increased speed by orders of magnitude… roadmap to gate-based machines” – Dr. Huang .
Q&A Highlights
- Foundry capex and capacity: Fab 1 largely built out; plan ~$2M for high‑speed test equipment; Fab 2 scoped to support both internal quantum systems and external TFLN demand targeting hundreds‑to‑millions chips/year .
- Share count modeling: ~224M shares outstanding post‑Oct offering; 250M authorized; options/warrants outstanding but timing uncertain .
- Cybersecurity demand: Management sees rising urgency given advances in quantum threat models; advocates quantum‑secured internet compatible with existing fiber .
- M&A: Pursuing targets to add customers/revenue and fill roadmap gaps; no specifics disclosed .
- Partnerships: POET collaboration validates Fab 1’s role in advanced TFLN prototyping ahead of Fab 2 scaling .
Estimates Context
- Coverage is thin (3 estimates). Q3 consensus: Revenue $0.117M*, EPS −$0.0567*; Actuals: Revenue $0.384M and GAAP basic EPS $0.01, resulting in headline beats on both lines .
- Given non‑operating drivers (derivative liability revaluation, interest income), we expect models to adjust OpEx run‑rate higher and incorporate higher interest income while treating the derivative mark‑to‑market as non‑core .
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Liquidity is now a core asset: with >$1.5B pro‑forma capital raised since late 2024, QUBT can fund multi‑year foundry and product roadmaps and consider M&A; execution pacing, not funding, becomes the key debate .
- Revenue base is still nascent but broadening (services, custom hardware, Dirac‑3 cloud, early devices); margin volatility likely persists until volumes rise .
- Q3 profitability was non‑operationally driven; monitor operating loss trajectory and gross margin stabilization as a truer indicator of progress .
- Foundry is a potential medium‑term catalyst: Fab 1 is fulfilling 10+ orders; Fab 2 planning underway; ecosystem tie‑ups (e.g., POET) expand TAM into AI/datacom .
- Early cybersecurity and sensing sales plus NASA engagement validate product‑market fit; watch for repeat orders and scaled deployments (banks, aerospace, government) .
- Near‑term trading setup: low sell‑side coverage and binary non‑cash items can create volatility; catalysts include additional commercial wins, Fab 2 milestones, and product launches (e.g., Neurawave/Dirac updates) .
Citations
- Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and financials:
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript:
- Q2 2025 press release and call:
- Financing and partnerships:
S&P Global estimates disclosure
- Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.